This would mean each party has flipped one seat in the Senate. However there are still four seats up for grabs in the Senate and Adam Laxalt looks likely to dislodge incumbent Democrat Sen. The victory for John Fetterman in Pennsylvania flipped a seat that had previously been held by a Republican. That gave them very little margin for error in the 2022 midterms with 34 Senate seats up for election. In the last Congress the 100-seat chamber was split 50-50, but the Democrats claimed the slimmest of majorities by dint of Kamala Harris’ tie-breaking vote as President of the Senate. In the Senate things are still too close to call and both parties retain a real chance of holding a majority in the Upper Chamber. In 2020 they won 212 seats in the House, meaning that the Republican Party stands to flip at least seven seats. This leaves ten races that are still too close to call.Ĭrucially, however, this means that the GOP are very likely to pass the 218-seat threshold required to secure a majority in the Upper House. In the 435-seat House of Representatives the Republicans are considered highly likely to win 219 seats, with the Democrats favoured in 206 races. Two days after Election Day, with most of the House and Senate races across the country already called, the New York Times calculated the most likely final outcomes in both Houses. We do not yet have finalised numbers in a number of districts but we can see that the Republicans appeared to have flipped enough seats to retake the House.

Since the end of the Second World War the president’s party has lost an average of 26 House seats, but the Democrats appear to have avoided significant losses this time around. During midterm elections the party of the president often suffers losses as the electorate takes the opportunity to voice opposition to the government.

House party demo